After all, rich-country banking systems accounted for over 90% of worldwide industry assets as recently as 2004, according to Economist Intelligence Unit data. Developing-country lenders now account for about 24% of global banking assets, and this share will increase to over 35% by 2016, according to our forecasts. About half the world’s adult population lacks an account at a formal financial institution—that is, at a bank, a savings and loan association (building society) or a credit union—according to a recent series of household surveys by the World Bank and Gallup. Many developing countries have only low levels of bank usage and thus offer the greatest potential to reach new customers and deepen financial sectors. For example, in China some 64% of adults have or share an account, with lower levels in Brazil (56%), Russia (48%) and India (35%). By contrast, in developed markets most adults have accounts, and any growth in customer numbers depends on population growth and immigration (which are themselves often stagnant). For example, in the United States 88% of adults hold accounts, with even higher rates of bank usage in Japan (96%), the United Kingdom (97%) and Germany (98%). The industry has recently been shrinking in many rich countries as banks trim loan books, sell off assets and realign their capital ratios to meet regulatory requirements.
A successful formula in Peru: Microfinance has grown by leaps and bounds in Peru, a market that combines sound regulation and private-sector participation.
According to Asomif, an industry association, the volume of loans increased by nearly 17% in the year to June 2012 and have more than trebled since end-2007. The growth of the sector in the three decades it has existed has been solid. More than three dozen entities offer microfinance in Peru, and they already account for about 16% of the money lent in the country. Since MFIs focus on small-value loans to individuals and small businesses, their market share of total borrowers is much higher than that.
The industry has even given birth to a not-for-profit, diversified financial group with international ramifications in the form of Grupo ACP, which owns the local heavyweight Mibanco, with outfits in Argentina, Mexico and Uruguay, plus a bank in Ecuador.
Their most important group of clients is composed of small and microbusinesses, which account for most of the country’s economy. Almost 80% of all loans provided by microfinance entities go to this group, while around 12% are granted to individuals. Even mid-sized companies sometimes employ the services of microlenders, with firms of this size representing slightly more than 5% of all loans. Some supporters of the model argue that it is working because, if they want to, operators can try and make a profit out of microcredit. Some surely seem to be aiming at the most promising markets from a business point of view, rather than simply targeting destitute regions. Data from Asomif show that almost one-third of all the money lent by microfinance companies has gone to the Lima region,which is the economic heart of the country.